domingo, 26 de agosto de 2012

The structural theory

International
For external factors, it causes of the descent in the creation of employments
The structural theory
By: Carlos Damián July 24, 2012
The dynamism collapsed in the private sector and it fell the occupation
México. - The question that assaults us this day has to do with the economy. Of course, we can continue with our prejudices. We also can we wonder if the available “facts" coincide with the “signature" that the history seems to imply, but we will see the general pattern that the argument suggests us that we should see. Now consider that the main argument of our problem is the structural reformations. To approach the solution of our problems first we will make some antecedents of the history when placing it in The States had many workers in the industries that were not correct for our main argument, and we had to wait a general level of depressed employment as the workers are taken out of these “swollen” sectors.

However the signature is the employment loss that would be concentrated on the swollen sectors and the employment should be increasing quicker in the non swollen sectors than in those inflated artificially. But we also have the data of the Labor Office of Statistic on employments and wages. But it arises then everywhere a loss of work employments. In the case of the employments we see that the line of the graph falls. In this supposed economic problem we are about wrong to fix it to refine even more to the problem, but the signature of a structural problem doesn't appear. Perhaps people have another structural history in which it is liked of mentioning in popular articles. Why people are sure that her problem is structural that the real evidence is maybe; the evidence is not consistent with the structural history, but it is consistent with the history of the demand.

A better world
It is a pain that we don't live in a better world to solve the discussion to put it final point. The conservatives have the solution to the problems when declaring that our problems are structural, or they won't simply be solved when increasing the demand. Let us see some retrospective ones structural: 1) in the decade of the 30’s, serious people were focused in the war but finally it generated stimuli that were needed, and all those structural difficulties were imaginary; 2) for their wonderful flexibility to Ireland was eulogized; George Osborne, former minister British of Treasury in England declared that it was a brilliant example of the art of the possible thing, but when they left the things wrong, it was said to the nation-state that it should fix its deep structural rigidities; 3) the one in path to the prosperity would arise with words like “if the deficit expense was the one in route to the prosperity, Greece would be phenomenal". These words left the siren's mouth, in a sea night in calm.

Perhaps the Greek case that the case in favor of the fiscal expansion is very specific to the circumstances; it is desirable yes and only yes we are in a trap of liquidity. Perhaps some people like to project their own ignorance; 4) when being in the circumstance that has opened up as a line of “we need solutions of long term, not arrangements of short term", this will sound sophisticated, but in fact it is exactly the opposite. We begin with John Maynard Keynes: "But this long term is an incorrect guide for the current matters. Long term we all are dead", written in 1923. "The economists notice a very easy and very useless task if in difficult seasons they can only tell us that when it has passed the hurricane the ocean it is calm again", it pointed.

The unemployment grows in The States
The unemployment rate in The States. It ascended for the first time in May in one year and it was located by 8.2 percent, with the lowest level in employment creation in 12 months, they revealed published official data June 1 that they heated the electoral campaign for the Presidency. The country generated 69 thousand employments in May, indicated the report of the Department of the work. The analysts waited a balance of 150 thousand new employments and a rate of stable unemployment, by 8.1 percent. The report also indicated that the employers only added 69 thousand put of work in May, the smallest figure in one year, In fact, the balance of employments -the difference between the new recruitments and the dismisses or the retirements - it lowered 10.4 percent in connection with April. Worse still, the authorities revised to the drop the data of employments created in April, to a number of 77 thousand or 33 percent less to that counted previously.

The government indicated that the generation of employments spent of an average of 226 thousand per month in the first trimester, to 73 thousand between April and May. These figures didn't reach to avoid that the unemployment ascended. President Obama looks for to be reelected in the elections of November; he said that mainly external factors are those responsible for the increase in the unemployment. He assured that it still fights to recover and that it is not still growing neither creating employments the sufficiently quick thing, for him whom it accused to the European crisis and the high prices of the gasoline. "The economy is growing again but not as quick as we wanted. Our companies have almost created 4.3 million employments in the last 27 months, but we are not still creating it the entire quick one that we wanted", He said at hundred of workers and sympathetic gathered in a factory of Honeywell, in Minnesota.

"The same as at this time of last year, our economy faces serious difficulties", the State boss affirmed. Pointing out that the prices of the gasoline are hitting people's wallet. He added that the problems of the area Eurus are “beginning to project a shade” it has more than enough under The States. "We have a lot of work that to make before arriving to where we need", it expressed. "The problems in the labor market are of long it dates, and they won't be solved overnight", said Alan Krueger, economic advisory’s president of the council of Obama. (La Jornada, economia, p.p. 27-38, June 2, 2012).

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