The mexican miracle

National
For American crisis the migrants defer their trip to U. S. A.
The Mexican miracle
By: Carlos Damián July 23, 2011
Superficial, the thesis of the massive return
México. - The article of Damien Cave that appeared in the New York Time from 6 of July outlines that the Mexican migration toward The States has descended in impressive form. The explanation that offers the author is: the crimes in the frontier, the decrease of the size of the Latin families, better economic opportunities, increase in the wages, a fullest democracy, and the decrease of the poverty. This journalist coincides with the study of the University of Princeton in the one which assures that the Mexicans migration toward The States has reduced by the social and economic improvements in Mexico.
In its superficial explanation the author deduces without investigation some that the flow of undocumented was reduced in form additionally impact it. The economic crisis in The States did not reduce the migration neither detonated a massive return of resident foreign toward its places of origin. If suffers The States crisis, the nations throw out will be suffering this crisis in a way more stressed, those which indicate us that "there is no what to return".
The migrants have deferred their return
The data in those which supports its argumentation untruthful is, the last Census of Population showed four million of persons and this can be resulted of the fact that the migrant potential decided be maintained in the country. The author gives us a key weight to the demographic issue upon indicating the reduction of the birthrate rate of Mexico, what has provoked that the employment seekers that before was counted in a million by year, as of 2007 may have reduced to 800 thousand persons and it is hoped that for the year 2030 scope 300 thousand persons only.
On the other hand, the gross internal product and the familiar revenue has grown 45 percent from the year 2000, according to the economist Robert Newell, and according to David Fitzgerald, the wages disparity between Mexico and The States has been reduced, since if before could be spoken of a difference of ten to one, now it is to 3.7 times only.

It is superficial the thesis of the massive migrants return
"Perhaps the crisis originated that they may have been stopped a little time the migrant movements, but we can not speak of a substantive decrease", words of Fabienne Venet, General Studies directress and Publication on Migration (Inedim, in Spanish). The massive migrants return remained in thesis. In the remittances has been given a phenomenon inside out, now the families outside of The States help economically so that its familiar is remained in the foreign country, since previously helped it to arrive to that goal country.

Jorge Bustamante, investigating of the Association of the North Frontier (Colef, in Spanish), it indicated that "that massive return that was going to happen, it did not occur in Mexico, neither in the world". "Many migrant are grasped of a nail burning to be remained, due to the sacrifices that must suffer to be remained in The States". Sandino Asturias Valenzuela general coordinator of the Studies Center of Guatemala (CEG, in Spanish), it said that the crisis has diminished a little the migration and discarded that may have provoked a disbandment. The coordinator discarded that the low in the migration is had to the policy of migrant control, to the "militarization" of the frontier, and to the Mexican cartels.
A mediatic news
However its study with tendency to liar is focalizing to a very small region, it is considered Arandas, Jalisco, 'icon of the local education in Mexico'. Treated by Douglas Massey, but Damien biases saucily, it to the rest of the country. In relationship to the demographic aspects, the birthrate rate can be decreased to less one, but if the country does not grow according to its population, the phenomenon of expulsion is maintained.

In this explanation we see that the migration exists in the two senses, a part that demand and other the one which expels them. In this phenomenon there is an attraction pole and other of rejection. If the first is not produced; The States working demand but due to its economic crisis and unemployment the migration is reoriented and ceased. Supposing is reoriented the phenomenon we see with logic that the receiving countries face a great crisis, worse that that of United States. Such criterion is absurd.

These untruthful investigating is not referred to Mexico The data in which are based these investigating foreign are wrong because the data of the researchers in Mexico say the contrary. Therefore we don’t agree that the migrant flow may have been stopped to supposed economic improvements in the work. The unemployment levels have been maintained high them. The employment deficit has been maintained, since until May of this year only they had been generated 327 thousand of the million 200 thousand that are required. With respect to educational factor, the public universities have been unable, by lack of budget, of incorporating into all the studies solicitors superior.

The salary in Mexico is of 60 pesos to the day, when in The States is located between five and six dollars the hour. With respect to poverty level in Mexico, according to the World Bank, it has reached 55 million of persons, and in the administration of Felipe Calderon has been increased in 6 million. According to this information tendency to lie and little reasonable, if Mexico continues with this economic growth trend, it is possible that the Mexican migrants are finished for United States. The Mexican miracle outside of the catholic Church. (La Jornada, opinión, p. 19, 16 de Julio, 2011).