martes, 3 de septiembre de 2013

Mexico will grow less

National This sowed of patches the economic pattern of the IMF Mexico will grow less By: Carlos Damian August 11, 2013 The politicians of social dismantlement will multiply Mexico. - The International Monetary Fund that predicted in its glass ball a fortunate and reliable world in a principle, now takes back and it says that they won't always be carried out its victorious speech for this emergent country, because when deflating the national rhetoric, adding to the group of seers and sorcerers that come reduced now the perspective of growth for the year 2012. When summarizing their plan of growth, it will be this way: a). The deceleration of the emergent markets makes worse the pains for the world economy; b). The world economy grows with more slowness of that waited and the risks become worse, mainly in the emergent markets; c). For this year the perspective of economic growth decreases between a half of percent point, with what would spend of 2.9 percent in that year, the smallest rate from 2009, year of the great crisis. The prediction if it is summed up, about the growth of the economy, it won't have spent great thing in these 13 years in the federal power and the national economy will have “grown” to a average rate yearly of hardly 2.15 percent. Perhaps the current tenant of Los Pinos residence in his first year grew a little more than in the same period of Fox (a descent of 0.3 percent), and almost the same as that of Calderon (3.2 percent). The euphoria that woke up in circles international neoliberals, as the IMF, specialists of the private sector, internments and national organisms, academic and other sorcerers that tried to deceive to the Mexican town with theirs glass sphere woke up with the news that the economy like a soap bubble has been deflated. The federal government's bet is focused in the patches of the economic pattern that truly for anything they serve, and it leans on in the “modernization” of the national oil sector. However this gambling is only a chance of black humor, and we don't need of the glass ball to know that the same as its predecessors that falsely modernized all its privatizations of State‘s companies, they failed since later when trying to rehabilitate them for the wrong handling of the private initiative, they spent more in the money that they received for the national sale. This sunken ship until the apparels, it is enslaved by the reality and the official economic presage leaves to the bottom of the water. Some official goldfinches say that the “black jewel of the federal government's crown” will be an annual economic push that it would not pass of the means a half of percent point, but this presage is not anything compared with the urgencies and national necessities. With these antecedent anorexics, the international organism notices that “the world growth is projected now by 3.1 percent for 2013, and 3.8 percent for 2014, a revision to the drop of a quarter of percent point in comparison with the report of April of 2013. With this bankrupt presage of the IMF, it recognizes now that “the economies of emergent markets are those that have been more affected". Of face to the future, the IMF estimates that the factors that lately have stopped the growth it will only happen in gradual form. In The States the growth would increase of 1.75 percent in 2013 to 2.75 percent in 2014, as the private demand continues being solid. In Japan, the growth of 2013. It would be located by 2 percent, impelled by the back that they gave to the trust and the private demand the recent politicians. For that that Japan the growth overcame to the expectations. The growth in the economies of emergent markets and in development it would control to 5 percent in 2013 and to approximately of 5.5 percent in 2014, what means that around a quarter of percent point less than that projected in April gone by the same organism. In China the growth would average 73.75 percent in 2013 - 2014, three quarters and a half of percent point less, respectively that in the projections of 2013. "The risks to the drop for the growth of the world economy prevail", this gave it to know in their “Panorama of the world economy". The revision that clips the presage of growth of the economy went lightly superior to the adjustment that the organism made for the group of Latin America and the Caribbean. For the region it advanced a turnaround of 3 percent, 0.4 percent less than the one calculated in April. In the cases of Mexico and Brazil, first and Latin American second economy, the IMF advanced that the growth this year will be of 2.5 and 2.9 percent, respectively. The IMF publishes twice a year, in April and September or in October, the Panorama of the world economy (WEO, in English). Two months after having published the documents the organism it makes bring up to date of its presage. The aggressions to social activists Chihuahua State takes the first place in aggressions to defenders of human rights and social activists in the whole country, with new cases denounced in a three year-old lapse, It gave to know Javier Hernandez Valencia, (JHV) who presented a report of the representative of the commissioned discharge of the United Nations about the situation of the defenders of the human rights in Mexico. He said that in Chihuahua, and in the rest of the Mexican Republic, the defenders of human rights are more vulnerable to suffer some aggression type for the work that they carry out day with day in the society, and in most of the cases the aggressions are perpetrated by public servants, as well as bound groups to the organized crime. He added that of 2010 at 2012 were denounced in all Mexico 89 cases of aggression to defenders of the human rights, to the organizations to those that belong, as well as to family of victims that have represented for some social cause. It pointed out that in order the states of Chihuahua, Coahuila, Oaxaca, Guerrero and the Federal District are for degree of insecurity. According to JHV, the most common attacks are the threats, with 38 percent of the incidents, continued by interferences (13), arbitrary detention and privation of the life, each one with 11 percent. It delimited that the attacks represent 6 percent of the cases and the disappearance forced 2 percent. It was also informed that in Juarez City a migratory judge from El Paso, TX, granted political asylum to Christian Chaidez Araujo (CCA), exile of this city and who had denounced that presumed gunmen murdered between 2009 and 2012 at 11 of their relatives who refused to pay the extortion quota that demanded the organized crime. The lawyer specialized in political asylum; Carlos Spector said in press conference that the asylum grant to Mexican victims of extortion is not very common in The States because a simple activity criminal non cover is considered under the traditional definition of what a refugee suffers. The jurist expressed that the migratory judge's decision was given to know the past 26 of June, four years after the first of the relatives of CCA was murdered, identified as Santiago Palacios 24 years old. He added that the decision of granting asylum the Mexican citizen took when considering the Mexican government unable or not willing to protect CCJ of more threats. The recently liberated generals will return to the functions that had before being stopped, secretary Salvador Cienfuegos, he announces from Sedena. The former governor of Tamaulipas Tomas Yarrington renews the point out of serious miscues that in his opinion the PGR carried out in its against. While the military of high range, and the former governor makes their accusations. The former executive of the Federal Attorney's office, the made up Marisela Morales Ibanez, when the abuses were made now signal, in prize to their great work in complicity with the Americans about national security, she enjoys a retirement in Italy, and particularly in Milan with their new consul position. (La Jornada, economia, p.p. 23-26, July 10, 2013).

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