International
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China is aggressive with its neighbors for its territorial
disputes
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Asia in their economic route
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By: Carlos Damian June 10, 2015
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The new politics is to promote the infrastructure development
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Mexico. -
The Chinese government impels a combination of
initiatives of long term designed to increase the economic paper and the
world leadership of their nation. Called by some foreign observers the “Plan
Chinese Marshall", the new strategy imitates the later American pattern
to the Second World War of winning influence by means of the trade and the
help to the development. However, it is probable that the Chinese version
hardly believes a distant affiliation, because the neighboring countries look
for to protect their bets deepening at the same time bonds with other powers.
The Chinese version of the Plan Marshall has evolved for a series of vague
rhetorical analogies that little by little low all together is had a unified
title. In September and October of 2013, the Chinese president Xi Jin-ping
began to float ideas of “Economic Belt of the Route of the Silk". The
basic idea behind the sentence is to promote the infrastructure development
in Asia, and this way to facilitate a deeper economic cooperation. By means
of this strategy China can increase its influence and at the same time, in an
indirect way, to support its national economy impelling the trade and
creating business opportunities abroad for its companies.
Some also come in this a means from using the capacity industrial
spare intern and they trace parallel with the form in that the Plan Marshall
maintained busy to the companies of United States after the Second World War.
During the summit of Asia - Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) in November,
Xi began to sketch more concrete numbers for the strategy, revealing a bottom
for infrastructure for 400 thousand million dollars that it will help to
connect the Chinese counties with markets foreigners. As complement of the
politics, A belt, a route, the Chinese government has also exposed the bases
of the Asian Bank of Investment in Infrastructure (BAII) that will be used to
promote the construction of infrastructure of transport and communications in
poorer Asian countries. The BAII has found resistance of United States and
Japan, because apparently it would compete with the influence that you/they
exercise through the World Bank and the Asian Bank of Development (BAD). The
politics' specific aspects A belt, a Route remains vague. A map published by
the newsy agency Xinhua shows 14 " stops " in the terrestrial route
of the silk through Central, and other Asia 14 in the marine part. However,
10 of the total are in Chinese cities, that which shows that the politics can
be influenced by domestic sectors to favor certain investment projects.
Pragmatic
route
In the route for earth, the cities not included Chinese are Almaty
(Kazajstan), Bishkek (Kirgizia), Samarkand (Uzbekistan), Dushanbe (Tajikistan),
Teheran (Iran), Istanbul (Turkey), Moscow (Russia), Duisburgo (Germany),
Rotterdam (Holland), and Venice (Italy). The marine route Athens also
incorporates (Greece), Nairobi (Kenya), Colombo (Sri Lanka), Chittagong
(Bangladesh), Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia), Jakarta (Indonesia) and Hanoi
(Vietnam). The list of cities is developing. It is remarkable, for example
that the terrestrial route doesn't seem to follow the plan of developing
infrastructure to accelerate the shipment of products of interior cities of
China, as Chongqing, to continental Europe via Russia. In other parts,
Chinese authorities have presented this initiative under the heading of “the
route of the silk". In a similar way, the marine route doesn't embrace
places like Gwadar (Pakistan), or Kyaukpyu (Myanmar), where the Chinese
investments have raised fears that the country tries to build a “necklace of
pearls", ports that project its naval might toward the Indian Ocean.
These absences suggest that the politics ‘A Belt, a Route’ is even vaguely
defined. It seems an effort to try to give a strategic turn to what is still
a jumble of bilateral and regional initiatives in the bottom. Not with this it
wants to diminish the scale of the involved plans.
Even before the bottom of 40 thousand billions of dollars was
revealed, agreements signed in Central Asia and other parts committed to it
Encircles to invest big sums of money. It is also possible that with the time
a more coherent focus arises in the politics of ‘A Belt, a Route’ is obvious
that this work is still in process. While the Plan Marshall generated good
will toward United States that was good to strengthen its strategic
influence, it is not clear that China will enjoy the same diplomatic dividend
for its efforts. Many Asian countries are happy of accepting them money, but
it is probable that to distrust in their strategic objectives tunnels the
deepest cooperation that some rulers glimpse. China has fed the suspicions
from its neighbors when taking aggressive postures in territorial disputes in
recent years, mentioning repeated times the possibility of military
collusions to claims of lands with Japan, Philippine, Vietnam and India. The
states of Central Asia fear to replace the economic domain of Russia with a
Chinese version, also, the enormous population from China causes certain
edginess on a potential emigration in the region.
Chinese
generosity
Even at the same time of enjoying the benefits of the politics of ‘A
Belt, a Route’, many governments will look for to counteract their economic
dependence of China strengthening bonds with other powers, in particular
United States. In terms of soft power, United States continues being much
more influential that China in Asia. In some countries this is based on
shared values but the geographical distance and the sense that United States
is a well-known actor it also has its part. Although the Asian governments
sometimes end up perceiving to the American country as busybody, their
strategic objectives are considered in general relatively defined and
limited. The Chinese ascent, in sum is ignored. To medium term, the capacity
financial to sustain their golden project is restricted more and more. In
their experiences in Venezuela, and Mexico the Chinese banks begin to become
more cautious. Among so much, the
experiences in Myanmar and Sri Lanka have shown that the economic bonds have
strengthened the bilateral relationships; the political events can tunnel
knots that it took years to build quickly.
As the fiscal pressures go into they rise in years to come, the
government will become more cautious in the use of their money in the
exterior. With all this, if the politics of its golden project is even able
partly to elevate the levels of infrastructure development in Central Asia
and along the marine route of the silk, it will have had an important impact.
Long term, the improvement of bonds will help to support the economic growth
and the trade in those regions, and therefore to reduce the political
tensions. For China, this is a good strategic result (Economist Intelligence Unit).
On the other hand in The States the president, proposed in her budget
initiative for 2016 a new tax of 14% to the capital accumulated by the big
American multinationals in the exterior, those too big ones to fall". It
consists on burdening the benefits that the companies obtain abroad. They are
in the plan all those companies with more than 50 thousand million dollars in
active, as General Electric, Microsoft, Pfizer or Apple. A fiscal lagoon that
allows to the companies not to pay for the earnings that they are not entered
United States exists. The measure has potential to collect 238 thousand
million dollars that will be dedicated to maintenance of infrastructure
highway. But and those that have their capital in Mexico, what it happens?
Perhaps our country serves them as protection for not paying in its origin
country and separate them they charge the service, we say it is question. (La
Jornada, economía, p.p. 27-28, February 3, 2015)
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miércoles, 24 de junio de 2015
Their economic route
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